Published inDataDrivenInvestorMeasuring Hedge Fund Performance with Factor Model Monte CarloIn this post I employ Factor Model Monte Carlo to measure and forecast the risk-return profile for the real case of Oracle fund.Mar 21, 202213Mar 21, 202213
Published inDataDrivenInvestorTrading the Inflation ThemeLearn how to position your portfolio to benefit from a secular change in inflation.Nov 28, 2021Nov 28, 2021
Published inInvestor’s HandbookTesting the CAPE Ratio: Cyclically Adjusted P/EThe Cyclically Adjusted PE Ratio is among the best measures of stock market valuation. Find out what the CAPE says about future returns.Oct 3, 2021551Oct 3, 2021551
Published inInvestor’s HandbookTesting the Buffet Indicator: Market Cap-to-GDPThe Buffet Indicator is a popular valuation metric. Check out where the indicator stands today and what it says about future market…Aug 14, 2021202Aug 14, 2021202
Published inDataDrivenInvestorEverything About Faber: A Critical Look at Market TimingIn this post I investigate a popular strategy for market timing based on Meb Faber’s 10-month SMA strategy.Jul 15, 20215Jul 15, 20215
Published inInvestor’s HandbookBitcoin: An Asset Allocation PerspectiveThis guide reviews everything you need to know about allocating to Bitcoin.Apr 1, 20211171Apr 1, 20211171
Published inDataDrivenInvestorMonetary Policy is Dead, Long Live Monetary PolicyIt’s more than just “Money printer go: Brrr!”. Textbook descriptions of monetary policy do not apply in a world of QE and excess reserves.Jan 24, 202172Jan 24, 202172
Published inDataDrivenInvestorStock Market Valuation and Volatility with RValuation is an important determinant of future stock market performance. Can valuation also be used to predict future market volatility?Jan 2, 202161Jan 2, 202161
Published inDataDrivenInvestorStructural Change in Stock Market ValuationsThe CAPE ratio reveals structural differences in stock market valuations over time.Nov 21, 202084Nov 21, 202084
Published inDataDrivenInvestorStock Market Valuation and the 2020’s in RCan stock valuations be used to predict returns and earnings growth?Oct 25, 202064Oct 25, 202064
Published inTDS ArchiveDrivers of Gold Returns in RNote from Towards Data Science’s editors: While we allow independent authors to publish articles in accordance with our rules and…Sep 25, 20201Sep 25, 20201
Published inTDS ArchiveBetter Portfolio Performance with Factor Model Monte Carlo In RFactor models and simulation can be used to improve portfolio risk and performance measurement when the history of returns is short.Aug 28, 20201Aug 28, 20201
Published inDataDrivenInvestorWhat Will Yield Curve Control Mean for Stocks?In recent months the Federal Reserve has unleashed battery of programs designed to support asset markets. To date they have been able to…Jul 17, 20201Jul 17, 20201
Inflation & Growth in the 2020’s (Part 2): Reaching Our PotentialAn important concept when discussing inflation is that of Potential GDP; also referred to as “trend GDP”. Potential GDP is a measure of…May 18, 2020May 18, 2020
Ultimate Guide to Dividend InvestingWhen most people think of investing, they immediately think of the gains. They envision themselves as the savvy investor that buys Amazon…May 9, 2020May 9, 2020
Published inLight FinanceInflation & Growth in the 2020’s (Part 1): The Basics — Light FinanceAt least one thing is true about economics: everyone has an opinion about it. CNBC has program after program and tens of thousands of…Apr 28, 2020Apr 28, 2020
Published inDialogue & DiscourseIs College Still (Net) Worth It?More young Americans are enrolling in college than ever before. In 2017 there were approximately 16.8 million undergraduates enrolled at…Apr 23, 2020Apr 23, 2020